Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.190773 0.226639 0.266870 0.315265 0.371826 0.435760 0.513430
2025-05-18 0.132017 0.176128 0.231094 0.304312 0.398948 0.516772 0.674184
2025-05-25 0.097649 0.142352 0.202680 0.289432 0.410259 0.571740 0.802904
2025-06-01 0.080536 0.126293 0.192210 0.293075 0.442263 0.653247 0.972256
2025-06-08 0.064703 0.108365 0.175056 0.282912 0.451145 0.701166 1.097672
2025-06-15 0.056363 0.100031 0.170248 0.289420 0.484057 0.785939 1.284655
2025-06-22 0.048758 0.091359 0.163217 0.290748 0.508054 0.858543 1.459527
2025-06-29 0.041669 0.082226 0.153817 0.286361 0.521392 0.914597 1.612630
2025-07-06 0.035911 0.074435 0.145430 0.282208 0.533971 0.969788 1.768800
2025-07-13 0.033129 0.071780 0.145813 0.293604 0.574823 1.076552 2.022922
2025-07-20 0.031851 0.071865 0.151257 0.314949 0.635911 1.224341 2.362929
2025-07-27 0.029769 0.069925 0.152423 0.328015 0.682605 1.350208 2.674526
2025-08-03 0.026122 0.064246 0.145734 0.325549 0.700945 1.429181 2.914628
2025-08-10 0.022169 0.057191 0.135187 0.313817 0.699688 1.471485 3.091153
2025-08-17 0.018575 0.050263 0.123776 0.298459 0.688720 1.493090 3.228709
2025-08-24 0.016814 0.047469 0.121206 0.302206 0.718703 1.599986 3.548215
2025-08-31 0.014427 0.042596 0.112983 0.291744 0.715978 1.638489 3.729786
2025-09-07 0.013308 0.040875 0.112097 0.298443 0.752714 1.764231 4.107721
2025-09-14 0.012046 0.038505 0.109207 0.299809 0.777123 1.865384 4.441864
2025-09-21 0.010670 0.035528 0.104269 0.295294 0.786847 1.934599 4.711696
2025-09-28 0.009477 0.032848 0.099688 0.291019 0.796558 2.004571 4.989673
2025-10-05 0.009015 0.032349 0.101043 0.302749 0.847901 2.176509 5.518965
2025-10-12 0.008927 0.033044 0.105899 0.324717 0.928097 2.424478 6.248994